Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. Alternative worlds of the us national intelligence council nic comes to a similar conclusion that we are living through a transformative period that is equal to if not greater than the aftermath of the political and economic revolutions of the late 18th century. Without completely disengaging, the us is no longer the global policeman. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical. Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class narrowing education and gender gaps innovations in communications technologies improving health. Since this nonstate world scenario is so different to our current paradigm, global trends 2030.
Alternative worlds the megatrends for water and food incited me to start down the path to founding. Alternative worlds has inserted a fictional letter in its analysis of this scenario. United states national intelligence council us nic. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement the availability and affordability of health productsmedicines, diagnostics, devices, and equipmentare critical to achieving universal health coverage and improving health outcomes. Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for us strategy moving forward. As the worlds largest economic power, china is expected to remain ahead of india, but the gap could begin to close by 2030. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast.
Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. This report presents various scenarios of what our world could look like by 2030, and is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today. In introducing this, i want to quote something that was said last fall in the initial rollout of this document by the principle author, matt boroughs, who. Beacons of technology and innovation in manufacturing, world economic forum, january 2019 wto lowers trade forecast as tensions unsettle global economy, world trade organisation press release, 1 october 2019. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. Mathew burrows counselor and director, analysis and production staff, national intelligence council global trends 2030. Drawing on a range of political, economic, and social trends, this paper envisions how the global landscape might change between now and 2030, with a focus on the implications for global health, imagining the alternative worlds of 2030. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The highlevel conference will convene more than 150 participants from the policymaking, business, media, and technology communities in the united states and from around the world in an unprecedented gathering to discuss. Alternative worlds megatrends 36 hydraulic fracturing hydraulic fracturing, or frackinga new technology to extract gas and oil from rock formationsis already making sizable differences in the ability of oil and gas companies to extract natural gas and oil from resources previously thought to be inaccessible.
In 2030 an historian is writing a history of globalization and its impact on the state during the past 30 years. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. The 2030 pdf is broken, can you up again the archive thanks. A more fragmented international system in which existing forms of cooperation are no longer seen as advantageous to many of the key global players would also increase the potential for competition and even great power conflict. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by. It describes the megatrends, gamechangers, and four potential worlds that we will likely face. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council.
Alternative worlds report is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. The nic global trends project involves extensive research and consultations with people inside the us government and around the world. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would.
Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist in 2030. Global trends 2030 alternative worlds gt2030 blog posts. Chinas gdp, c for example, is likely to be about 140 percent larger than japan s. Slaughter1 abstract the article acknowledges some of the strengths of the nic report such as its use of scenarios. The national intelligence councils nic global trends report engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forwardlooking document to aid policymakers in their long term planning on key issues of worldwide. Alternative worlds, us national intelligence council, december 2012 fourth industrial revolution. Of all possible future worlds is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. At the end of 2012, the us national intelligence council nic released global trends 2030. Drawing on a range of political, economic, and social trends, this paper. Summaries of the us, eu, russia, and nato global trends 2030 reports. This gt2030 link should start a pdf download immediately. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Alternative worlds national intelligence council on.
Alternative worlds free ebook download as pdf file. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. Share of global middleclass consumption, 20002050 percent others eu us japan other asia india china 1990 to 2010 2010 to 2030 projected global trends 2030. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. Law and political science, economic growth, development, planning, hd7288. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement center for global development. It also critiques it on grounds that include failing to learn from feedback on the 2005 report, over. Bill burkewhite what will be the shape of the united nations security council unsc in 2030. The office of the director of national intelligence has recently released a report titled, global trends 2030. The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u.
The atlantic councils brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence council s nic global trends 2030. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Scenarios for asias strategic future the national intelligence councils nic justreleased global. Global trends 2030 office of the director of national intelligence. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment of a series that aims to provide a framework for thinking about future policy planning.
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